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Being one minute or a couple fantasy points off a player’s true projection can make or break your night as it makes a good play look like a great one and then all of a sudden you’re over-committed. Having accurate projections is essential to success in NBA DFS, though. You still need to find the right sleepers to win large-field tournaments. That’s not to say that you want to play all of the popular plays on a given day, though. There can be situations where you should play a guy even if 100% of entries have him - Kyrie Irving on days when Kevin Durant doesn’t play is an obvious example because he takes so many more shots and gets so many more assists when Durant is off the floor. The result of projections being more accurate is that the best strategies for NBA DFS tend to focus more on popular players than other sports. The misconception is that predictability makes NBA DFS easier to win at, because everyone has the same advantage compared to other sports it’s still an even playing field. In my Boom/Bust tool, I give you the ranges of fantasy scoring which you can expect on a daily basis for each player. As a result, you can usually guess within 10 points of an athlete’s fantasy performance on a day-to-day basis. In NBA there are numerous fantasy scoring opportunities, but each is of low significance to overall score, which is a huge contrast to a touchdown, goal or home run. People like to say that NBA players are easier to project than other sports, and to a large degree that’s true. While there’s no magic bullet, there are several concepts that are often misunderstood.

Everyone wants to know how to win at DraftKings and FanDuel NBA Daily Fantasy.